By John | December 24, 2008
It’s that time of the year where everyone is predicting the future. Here is my obligatory top 5 watch list for 2009.
It breaks my heart to take Drupal off from last years list. However, in 2009 WordPress will probably have enough feature function to compete head on with Drupalas as a viable CMS. The truth is that under the covers Drupal is still more powerful but WordPress will advance because it is so darn easy use. WordPress has an almost zero learning curve. In 2008 I have seen a lot of “hard core developers” put up WordPress sites for their family or wife’s web sites instead of using Drupal. I still love Drupal in my heart of hearts, however, if WordPress can get the job done I’m taking the easy win in 2009.
I shouldn’t have put this on last years list. I was hoping not to have to buy an iPhone in 2008 and instead buy a phone with Android. The good news is I didn’t buy an iPhone in 2008, however the bad news is that it’s not because of Andriod. It was because of my wife cut me off on buying new phones in 2008. This might have been a stroke of genius on her part because, Luke Kanies of Reductive labs has suggested that I wait till next year to get an Andriod. Luke has some great posts on switching to and from Android.
Alice is another one that shouldn’t have been on my 2008 list. I was a just a year too early. Alice 3.0 was supposed to be out in early 2008 and it was pushed back to “beta” in late 2008. Also the academic snobs, who control Alice, won’t let you get a Beta copy unless you are a certified teacher… Pleeease. The good news is that Alice 3.0 should be out of Beta early next year and it will include the much anticipated Electronic Arts’ Sims2 objects. Also, Sun has recently announced that they are going to start contributing to the Alice project which should make 2009 a great year for Alice. If you haven’t read the Last Lecture go out and get it for yourself as a Christmas gift. If you don’t like send me the bill and I will pay for the book (disclaimer only the first 10 people.. and you have to be a sane person … not some kook).
Hadoop stays on the 2009 list. In fact Drupal and Hadoop were probably the only two I got right last year. Cloudera will most likely get significant VC funding in 2009 and with their existing team they will make a huge impact with this product.
Ok big deal you say, so he picks Ruby. Actually, I am predicting that Ruby will become the predominate system administrators tool in 2009 overtaking Perl. Now how do you like those apples? I know this is a long “shot” prediction, however, Ruby is already pervasive in most WEB 2.0/auto scaling infrastructures. As more and more traditional IT infrastructures start exploring cloud/utility computing they are going to opt to use Ruby as their sys-admin glue. The bottom line is that there is a lot of great Ruby “free” software code out there for auto scaling, monitoring, and heartbeating in the wild and It just won’t make sense for administrators to create new solutions from scratch in Perl… IMHO…
Last year I got 2 out of 5 right. Let’s see how I do this year…